Questions tagged [prediction]
14 questions
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Can a new theory be proven just from what it predicts?
If we make predictions with a new theory, but cannot verify its internal mechanisms and causal processes, but find that the predictions turn out to be accurate every single time, is this enough evidence for the theory? Let's assume that the…
thinkingman
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Determinism vs prediction
What is the difference between determinism and predictable. I have heard classical mechanics is both predictable and deterministic , chaos theory is deterministic but unpredictable , quantum mechanics is indeterministic and unpredictable. And how…
quanity
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Did anyone argue against the possibility of a perfect prediction from within a system?
Did anyone offer an argument against the possibility of a perfect and complete prediction about a system from within that system along the following lines:
Let's imagine a machine (like a desktop computer) that had access to
all of the…
Murey Tasroc
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Is an outcome based on a prediction less likely than one without?
Suppose I predict that the lottery numbers that will be won tomorrow are a particular sequence and it comes true. Is this event less likely than it occurring without my prediction?
Intuitively, it seems yes, but after thinking about it, I fail to…
thinkingman
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Can I predict my future by observing all humans/events
There is NO RANDOM in the Universe (Atleat in our universe)
Humans have NO FREE WILL (Determinism vs Free Will: Crash Course Philosophy #24)
I believe everything happened/happening in the universe is not random. There should be a reason for each…
Veerendra K
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At what prediction level do we call a physical world theory true?
Alright, I am in a bind.
I know that prediction is the ultimate test of a theory in the physical world. You can make any assumptions, you can come up with useless things like the math in string theory, but ultimately it's only considered "true", as…
user12196
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Are random processes equivalent to unpredictable processes
I have seen random and unpredictable used interchangeably but sense there is a subtle difference that I have difficulty articulating.
My sense is that predictability is based on my own personal experience while random behavior doesnt need any of my…
user64314
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Does causality have a role in predicting the future compared to knowing the past?
Example: Buckling of a rod: It is easy to know the previous position of a buckled rod, but it is impossible to predict the direction of buckling from the unbuckled position.
Does causality play any role in this buckling situation? The situation…
David Jonsson
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How do the philosophical notions of schemas and paradigms differ?
In analytical philosophy, both schemas and paradigms are powerful conceptual structures for modeling phenomena, and I wonder which features define and differentiate them.
Schemas (as explored in cognitive science) appear to be sets of expectations. …
iceburger
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Can we make nontrivial predictions about the potential future usefulness of specific forms of math, or is it too easy to manipulate math?
This question is motivated by something from the set-theorist Hugh Woodin, a prediction he has made and styled as empirical, according to which a subtheory that he uses will not be shown inconsistent for centuries to come. That's a more "purely…
Kristian Berry
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Reasoning and Randomness
What is the relation between reasoning and randomness or more specifically finding any relation between logic and stochastic processes? Why does it work so well, I wonder. For instance, prices in economic studies may move in random ways such as the…
quanity
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Why do people make theories without predictive power?
I studied neuroscience and during my studies I had a course called "The philosophy of consciousness". There we looked at a theory called Qualia, which infuriated me to no ends. Reading up on it online didn't really help. In the exam we only had to…
Hakaishin
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Can an unlikely event be evidence of the existence of a new process?
Note the word “existence” in the question where I’m trying to be careful with my wording here. This can be better illustrated with an example.
Take the example of the cheating process. Suppose one observes that John has won four straight lotteries,…
thinkingman
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Future tense explanations?
Is it possible to explain in the future tense? For example, "there will be smoke" because "there will be fire"?
Richard Bamford
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