< Page:Logic of Chance (1888).djvu
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Contents.
xxvii
| §§ 15, 16. | Illustration from family names. | |
| 17. | (2) from the 'moral expectation'. | |
| 18, 19. | Inconclusiveness of these proofs. | |
| 20—22. | Broader questions raised by these attempts. | |
| CHAPTER XVI. | ||
| APPLICATION OF PROBABILITY TO TESTIMONY. | ||
| §§ 1, 2. | Doubtful applicability of Probability to testimony. | |
| 3. | Conditions of such applicability. | |
| 4. | Reasons for the above conditions. | |
| 5, 6. | Are these conditions fulfilled in the case of testimony? | |
| 7. | The appeal here is not directly to statistics. | |
| 8, 9. | Illustrations of the above. | |
| 10, 11. | Is any application of Probability to testimony valid? | |
| CHAPTER XVII. | ||
| CREDIBILITY OF EXTRAORDINARY STORIES. | ||
| § 1. | Improbability before and after the event. | |
| 2, 3. | Does the rejection of this lead to the conclusion that the credibility of a story is independent of its nature? | |
| 4. | General and special credibility of a witness. | |
| 5—8. | Distinction between alternative and open questions, and the usual rules for application of testimony to each of these. | |
| 9. | Discussion of an objection. | |
| 10, 11. | Testimony of worthless witnesses. | |
| 12—14. | Common practical ways of regarding such problems | |
| 15. | Extraordinary stories not necessarily less probable. | |
| 16—18. | Meaning of the term extraordinary, and its distinction from miraculous | |
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