< Page:Logic of Chance (1888).djvu
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Contents.
| § 5. | Probability only concerned with part of this enquiry. | |
| 6. | Difficulty of measuring our belief; | |
| 7. | Owing to intrusion of emotions, | |
| 8. | And complexity of the evidence. | |
| 9. | And when measured, is it always correct? | |
| 10, 11. | Distinction between logical and psychological views. | |
| 12—16. | Analogy of Formal Logic fails to show that we can thus detach and measure our belief. | |
| 17. | Apparent evidence of popular language to the contrary. | |
| 18. | How is full belief justified in inductive enquiry? | |
| 19—23. | Attempt to show how partial belief may be similarly justified. | |
| 24—28. | Extension of this explanation to cases which cannot be repeated in experience. | |
| 29. | Can other emotions besides belief be thus measured? | |
| 30. | Errors thus arising in connection with the Petersburg Problem. | |
| 31. 32. | The emotion of surprise is a partial exception. | |
| 33, 34. | Objective and subjective phraseology. | |
| 35. | The definition of probability, | |
| 36. | Introduces the notion of a 'limit', | |
| 37. | And implies, vaguely, some degree of belief. | |
| CHAPTER VII. | ||
| THE RULES OF INFERENCE IN PROBABILITY. | ||
| § 1. | Nature of these inferences. | |
| 2. | Inferences by addition and subtraction. | |
| 3. | Inferences by multiplication and division. | |
| 4—6. | Rule for independent events. | |
| 7. | Other rules sometimes introduced. | |
| 8. | All the above rules may be interpreted subjectively, i.e. in terms of belief. | |
| 9—11. | Rules of so-called Inverse Probability. | |
| 12, 13. | Nature of the assumption involved in them: | |
| 14—16. | Arbitrary character of this assumption. | |
| 17, 18. | Physical illustrations. | |
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